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Less Than 0.01% of the U.S. Population Will Determine the 2024 Election Results

Economics & Tech
Brain Labs
Published in
7 min readOct 14, 2024

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In 2020, the outcome of the United States presidential election came down to the votes of just 21,460 people. Since the United States had a population of over , the Biden vs. Trump presidential election could have taken a radically different turn if only 0.0065% of America had voted differently (see the maths below).

Note: 21,460/331,449,281 * 100% = 0.0065%

Unfortunately, due to the outdated nature of the American election system that gives swing state voters a disproportionate influence in the election. History could repeat itself, with less than 0.01% of the American population potentially deciding the outcome of the 2024 Harris vs. Trump election. This is why both presidential candidates are spending record-breaking amounts campaigning in swing states.

In this article, I will briefly explain the U.S. voting system, the extreme influence of swing voters in American politics, and how less than 0.01% of the population could determine the next president of the United States.

Brain Labs
Brain Labs

Published in Brain Labs

Brain Labs is a place for people to write about ideas. Original, thought-provoking ideas. We challenge writers to find patterns and make connections in fresh, logical, vigorous, engaging, and often counter-intuitive ways.

Economics & Tech
Economics & Tech

Written by Economics & Tech

Breaking down Economics, Tech, and Politics through engaging articles. All works by OlaOluwa Adeyemo.

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